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02/23/2010

Radian Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2009 Financial Results

- Improves holding company liquidity position and now projects excess through 2012-- Improves foundation to write new MI business with 15.4:1 risk-to-capital ratio -
PHILADELPHIA, Feb 23, 2010 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended December 31, 2009, of $91.9 million, or $1.12 per diluted share. This compares to a net loss of $250.4 million, or $3.11 per diluted share, for the prior-year quarter. The net loss for the full year 2009 was $147.9 million, or $1.80 per diluted share. This compares to a net loss of $410.6 million, or $5.12 per diluted share for the prior year. Book value per share at December 31, 2009, was $24.22.

"We achieved our most important goals in the quarter by improving Radian's liquidity position and effectively managing our capital," said Chief Executive Officer S. A. Ibrahim. "As a result of a series of strategic actions and better-than-expected operating results that reduced our estimated inter-company tax obligation for 2010, we now anticipate having excess liquidity through 2012. In addition, by actively managing our risk-to-capital ratio to 15.4 to 1, we have improved our foundation to continue writing new, high-quality mortgage insurance business."

Ibrahim added, "Our results illustrate the challenging macroeconomic environment affecting our company. However, we are encouraged by signs of improvement in our mortgage insurance business, including a lower rate of new delinquencies, both sequentially and year-over-year, in a quarter that is traditionally prone to seasonal increases."

FOURTH QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

  • Radian Guaranty Inc.'s risk-to-capital ratio was 15.4:1 at December 31, 2009, compared to a ratio of 16.1:1 at September 30, 2009, and 16.4:1 at December 31, 2008. While Radian Guaranty remains below the 25:1 risk-to-capital limit imposed by some states, the company has prepared, subject to final regulatory and GSE approval, its 50-state licensed mortgage insurance subsidiary, Amerin Guaranty, to write new business in those states if needed. Radian expects to continue writing high-quality mortgage insurance business, uninterrupted, for the foreseeable future.
  • The mortgage insurance provision for losses of $459.9 million in the fourth quarter and $1.3 billion for the full year 2009 reflects higher delinquency counts and the continued aging of delinquencies, in addition to ongoing benefits associated with the company's various loss mitigation activities. As a result of the steady slowing of new delinquencies, Radian expects the delinquency level to stabilize throughout 2010, and decrease by the end of 2010.
  • Consistent with its strategy of actively managing the legacy portfolio and reducing non-core risk, Radian completed a series of transactions in the quarter that reduced the company's risk in force in pool and modified pool insurance as well as NIMs, second-lien, international mortgage risk and financial guaranty credit default swaps (CDS).
  • Total mortgage insurance claims paid were $426.8 million for the fourth quarter and $970.1 million for the full-year 2009. For the fourth quarter, excluding a $197.7 million impact from first-lien terminations and net of proceeds received from captive terminations of $25.2 million, claims paid were $254.3 million, which consisted of $239.5 million of first-liens and $14.8 million of second-liens. For the full-year 2009, excluding the impact of first- and second-lien terminations as well as proceeds received from captive terminations, claims paid were $818.0 million, compared to $916.1 million in 2008. For 2010, the company expects mortgage insurance claims paid to be approximately $1.5 billion.
  • As a result of reduced mortgage industry origination volume and mortgage insurance penetration, new mortgage insurance written (NIW) was $2.4 billion in the quarter and $17.0 billion for the year. NIW in the quarter continued to consist of loans with excellent risk characteristics, and the company maintained market share for the quarter and also for the year of more than 20 percent.
  • Radian Asset Assurance Inc., the company's principal financial guaranty subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of capital support for Radian Guaranty, the company's mortgage insurance subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide Radian Guaranty with cash infusions over time.
    • As of December 31, 2009, Radian Asset had approximately $1.1 billion in statutory surplus with an additional $1.5 billion in claims-paying resources.
    • In October, Radian Asset transferred $143 million of contingency reserves to surplus, which strengthened Radian Guaranty's statutory capital and positively impacted the company's risk-to-capital ratio.

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Tuesday, February 23, 2010, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at www.radian.com. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-230-1059 inside the U.S., or 612-288-0340 for international callers, using passcode 145249 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 145249.

In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's Web site under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking on http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-earnings.

About Radian

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk mitigation products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found at www.radian.com.

Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

Exhibit A: Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit B: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit C: Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2009
Exhibit D: Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2008
Exhibit E: Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2009
Exhibit F: Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2008
Exhibit G: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit H: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit I: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
New Insurance Written and Risk Written
Exhibit J: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
Exhibit K: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force
Exhibit L: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Claims and Reserves
Exhibit M: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Default Statistics
Exhibit N: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency
Exhibit O: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year
Exhibit P: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Modified Pool
Exhibit Q: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Alt-A Risk in Force
Exhibit R: Financial Services Supplemental Information -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit S: Impact of Mortgage Insurance Terminations -
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit A
Quarter Ended Year Ended
December 31 December 31
2009 2008 2009 2008
(In thousands, except per-share data)
Revenues:
Net premiums written - insurance $ 163,251 $ 147,467 $ 443,848 (1) $ 816,869
Net premiums earned - insurance $ 211,570 $ 231,044 $ 825,901 $ 971,820
Net investment income 50,624 66,711 214,190 263,033
Change in fair value of derivative instruments 142,913 (217,879 ) 99,958 710,913
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments (7,390 ) (19,658 ) 168,572 (94,300 )
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses (8,396 ) (2,936 ) (9,269 ) (55,166 )
Losses recognized in other comprehensive loss - - - -
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings (8,396 ) (2,936 ) (9,269 ) (55,166 )
Other income 3,539 2,145 14,026 11,736
Total revenues 392,860 59,427 1,313,378 1,808,036
Expenses:
Provision for losses 473,166 618,835 1,337,574 2,205,340
Provision for premium deficiency 16,065 (244,512 ) (2) (61,504 ) (108,785 ) (2)
Policy acquisition costs 8,920 15,768 63,034 136,396 (3)
Other operating expenses 42,499 55,726 203,770 255,497
Interest expense 10,120 13,337 46,010 53,514
Total expenses 550,770 459,154 1,588,884 2,541,962
Equity in net income of affiliates 9,618 15,769 33,226 59,797
Pretax loss (148,292 ) (383,958 ) (242,280 ) (674,129 )
Income tax benefit (56,425 ) (133,566 ) (94,401 ) (263,550 )
Net loss $ (91,867 ) $ (250,392 ) $ (147,879 ) $ (410,579 )
Diluted net loss per share (4) $ (1.12 ) $ (3.11 ) $ (1.80 ) $ (5.12 )
(1) Includes the reversal of $185.6 million of premiums written related to the Ambac Commutation in our Financial Guaranty segment.
(2) Includes $(150.1) million for first-lien mortgages and $(94.4) million for second-lien mortgages in the fourth quarter of 2008 and $(108.8) million for second-lien mortgages for the year ended December 31, 2008. All 2009 amounts relate to second-lien mortgages.
(3) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization for the year ended December 31, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.
(4) Weighted average shares outstanding (In thousands)
Average common shares outstanding 81,926 80,642 81,937 80,258
Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis - - - -
Weighted average shares outstanding 81,926 80,642 81,937 80,258

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian's (RDN) website.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit B
December 31 December 31
(In thousands, except per-share data) 2009 2008
Assets:
Cash and investments $ 6,214,376 $ 6,060,601
Investments in affiliates 121,480 99,712
Deferred policy acquisition costs 160,281 160,526
Prepaid federal income taxes - 248,828
Derivative assets 68,534 179,515
Deferred income taxes, net 440,948 446,102
Reinsurance recoverables 628,572 492,359
Other assets 442,115 428,476
Total assets $ 8,076,306 $ 8,116,119
Liabilities and stockholders' equity:
Unearned premiums $ 823,621 $ 916,724
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses 3,578,982 3,224,542
Reserve for premium deficiency 25,357 86,861
Long-term debt and other borrowings 698,222 857,802
Variable interest entity debt 296,080 160,035
Derivative liabilities 238,697 519,260
Other liabilities 410,353 320,185
Total liabilities 6,071,312 6,085,409
Common stock 100 98
Additional paid-in capital 473,759 462,647
Retained earnings 1,602,143 1,766,946
Accumulated other comprehensive income (71,008 ) (198,981 )
Total common stockholders' equity 2,004,994 2,030,710
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity $ 8,076,306 $ 8,116,119
Book value per share $ 24.22 $ 25.06
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended December 31, 2009
Exhibit C
Mortgage Financial Financial
(In thousands) Insurance Guaranty Services Total
Revenues:
Net premiums written - insurance $ 164,198 $ (947 ) $ - $ 163,251
Net premiums earned - insurance $ 189,634 $ 21,936 $ - $ 211,570
Net investment income 32,406 18,217 1 50,624
Change in fair value of derivative instruments 14,027 128,886 - 142,913
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments 1,365 (8,755 ) - (7,390 )
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings (8,396 ) - - (8,396 )
Other income 2,393 1,078 68 3,539
Total revenues 231,429 161,362 69 392,860
Expenses:
Provision for losses 459,853 13,313 - 473,166
Provision for premium deficiency 16,065 - - 16,065
Policy acquisition costs 5,231 3,689 - 8,920
Other operating expenses 29,763 12,604 132 42,499
Interest expense 3,320 6,800 - 10,120
Total expenses 514,232 36,406 132 550,770
Equity in net income of affiliates - - 9,618 9,618
Pretax (loss) income (282,803 ) 124,956 9,555 (148,292 )
Income tax (benefit) provision (103,408 ) 43,637 3,346 (56,425 )
Net (loss) income $ (179,395 ) $ 81,319 $ 6,209 $ (91,867 )
Cash and investments $ 3,775,682 $ 2,438,694 $ - $ 6,214,376
Deferred policy acquisition costs 35,854 124,427 - 160,281
Total assets 4,968,963 2,985,919 121,424 8,076,306
Unearned premiums 240,346 583,275 - 823,621
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses 3,450,538 128,444 - 3,578,982
Derivative liabilities - 238,697 - 238,697
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended December 31, 2008
Exhibit D
Mortgage Financial Financial
(In thousands) Insurance Guaranty Services Total
Revenues:
Net premiums written - insurance $ 188,368 $ (40,901 ) $ - $ 147,467
Net premiums earned - insurance $ 203,213 $ 27,831 $ - $ 231,044
Net investment income 38,804 27,907 - 66,711
Change in fair value of derivative instruments (3,391 ) (214,488 ) - (217,879 )
Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments (14,923 ) (4,765 ) 30 (19,658 )
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings (1,999 ) (937 ) - (2,936 )
Other income 2,082 63 - 2,145
Total revenues 223,786 (164,389 ) 30 59,427
Expenses:
Provision for losses 551,284 67,551 - 618,835
Provision for premium deficiency (244,512 ) - - (244,512 )
Policy acquisition costs 6,630 9,138 - 15,768

Other operating expenses 28,731 26,867 128 55,726
Interest expense 6,482 6,855 - 13,337
Total expenses 348,615 110,411 128 459,154
Equity in net income of affiliates - 16 15,753 15,769
Pretax (loss) income (124,829 ) (274,784 ) 15,655 (383,958 )
Income tax (benefit) provision (47,784 ) (91,572 ) 5,790 (133,566 )
Net (loss) income $ (77,045 ) $ (183,212 ) $ 9,865 $ (250,392 )
Cash and investments $ 3,508,018 $ 2,552,583 $ - $ 6,060,601
Deferred policy acquisition costs 21,286 139,240 - 160,526
Total assets 4,800,708 3,151,695 163,716 8,116,119
Unearned premiums 336,126 580,598 - 916,724
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses 2,989,994 234,548 - 3,224,542
Derivative liabilities 161,839 357,421 - 519,260
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Year Ended December 31, 2009
Exhibit E
Mortgage Financial Financial
(In thousands) Insurance Guaranty Services Total
Revenues:
Net premiums written - insurance $ 630,076 $ (186,228 ) $ - $ 443,848
Net premiums earned - insurance $ 724,423 $ 101,478 $ - $ 825,901
Net investment income 129,871 84,315 4 214,190
Change in fair value of derivative instruments (14,428 ) 114,386 - 99,958
Net gains on other financial instruments 65,615 102,957 - 168,572
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings (9,246 ) (23 ) - (9,269 )
Other income 12,258 1,394 374 14,026
Total revenues 908,493 404,507 378 1,313,378
Expenses:
Provision for losses 1,300,827 36,747 - 1,337,574
Provision for premium deficiency (61,504 ) - - (61,504 )
Policy acquisition costs 27,563 35,471 - 63,034
Other operating expenses 140,487 67,223 (3,940 ) 203,770
Interest expense 15,372 30,638 - 46,010
Total expenses 1,422,745 170,079 (3,940 ) 1,588,884
Equity in net income of affiliates - - 33,226 33,226
Pretax (loss) income (514,252 ) 234,428 37,544 (242,280 )
Income tax (benefit) provision (176,456 ) 68,641 13,414 (94,401 )
Net (loss) income $ (337,796 ) $ 165,787 $ 24,130 $ (147,879 )
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Year Ended December 31, 2008
Exhibit F
Mortgage Financial Financial
(In thousands) Insurance Guaranty Services Total
Revenues:
Net premiums written - insurance $ 787,232 $ 29,637 $ - $ 816,869
Net premiums earned - insurance $ 808,781 $ 163,039 $ - $ 971,820
Net investment income 154,607 108,412 14 263,033
Change in fair value of derivative instruments 102,157 608,756 - 710,913
Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments (62,906 ) (31,544 ) 150 (94,300 )
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings (20,230 ) (34,936 ) - (55,166 )
Other income 11,133 300 303 11,736
Total revenues 993,542 814,027 467 1,808,036
Expenses:
Provision for losses 2,090,845 114,495 - 2,205,340
Provision for premium deficiency (108,785 ) - - (108,785 )
Policy acquisition costs 89,103 47,293 - 136,396
Other operating expenses 155,375 99,509 613 255,497
Interest expense 27,622 25,643 249 53,514
Total expenses 2,254,160 286,940 862 2,541,962
Equity in net income of affiliates - 16 59,781 59,797
Pretax (loss) income (1,260,618 ) 527,103 59,386 (674,129 )
Income tax (benefit) provision (475,970 ) 187,965 24,455 (263,550 )
Net (loss) income $ (784,648 ) $ 339,138 $ 34,931 $ (410,579 )
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit G
Quarter Ended Year Ended
(In thousands) December 31 December 31
2009 2008 2009 2008
Net Premiums Earned:
Public finance direct $ 14,215 $ 12,997 $ 49,965 $ 56,191
Public finance reinsurance 5,935 24,082 44,232 89,227
Structured direct 1,208 3,207 6,364 14,418
Structured reinsurance 584 4,527 15,714 19,690
Trade credit reinsurance 17 162 191 657
Net Premiums Earned - insurance 21,959 44,975 116,466 180,183
Impact of commutations (1) (23 ) (17,144 ) (14,988 ) (17,144 )
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance $ 21,936 $ 27,831 $ 101,478 $ 163,039
Refundings included in earned premium $ 8,913 $ 19,443 $ 40,989 $ 75,090
Claims paid:
Trade credit reinsurance $ (136 ) $ 2,008 $ 776 $ 3,440
Financial Guaranty 10,258 14,932 134,019 (2) 128,972

(3)

Total $ 10,122 $ 16,940 $ 134,795 $ 132,412

Balance Sheet impact of initial adoption of the accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts on January 1, 2009:

($ in millions)
Increase in unearned premiums $ (292.8 )
Increase in premiums receivable 161.4
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs 66.0
Decrease in reserve for losses and LAE 8.2
Decrease in deferred taxes, net 20.2
Increase in premium taxes payable (0.6 )
Decrease in equity $ (37.6 )

Balance Sheet impact of Ambac Commutation in Q3 2009:

($ in millions)
Decrease in:
Cash and investments $ 100.0
Premiums receivable 93.2
Unearned premiums 185.6
Reserve for losses and LAE 53.9

Deferred policy acquisition costs

46.3

(1)

Amounts recorded related to the recaptures of previously ceded business by primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty insurance business.

(2)

Includes $53.9 million related to Ambac Commutation.

(3)

Includes a $100 million payment related to one CDO of ABS transaction that was fully reserved for in 2007.

Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit H
($ in thousands, except ratios) December 31 December 31
2009 2008
Statutory Information:
Capital and surplus $ 1,062,637 $ 968,197
Contingency reserve 366,108 515,023
Qualified statutory capital 1,428,745 1,483,220
Unearned premium reserve 595,819 729,274
Loss and loss expense reserve 128,754 82,340
Total statutory policyholders' reserves 2,153,318 2,294,834
Present value of installment premiums 260,662 380,666
Soft capital facilities 150,000 150,000
Total statutory claims paying resources $ 2,563,980 $ 2,825,500
Net debt service outstanding $ 110,207,923 $ 138,430,925
Capital leverage ratio (1) 77 93
Claims paying leverage ratio (2) 43 49
Net par outstanding by product:
Public finance direct $ 17,536,616 $ 17,836,221
Public finance reinsurance 24,180,588 31,578,163
Structured direct 43,528,366 46,001,355
Structured reinsurance 2,174,433 5,310,004
Total $ 87,420,003 (3) $ 100,725,743
Reserve for losses and LAE-GAAP Basis:
Financial Guaranty $ 121,833 $ 219,671
Trade Credit 6,611 14,877
Total $ 128,444 $ 234,548

(1)

The capital leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

(2)

The claims paying leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by total statutory claims paying resources.

(3)

Reduction due to $9.8 billion of par that was commuted in connection with the Ambac Commutation in July 2009. Also included in public finance net par outstanding is $2.2 billion for legally defeased bond issues where our financial guaranty policy has not been extinguished but cash or securities have been deposited in an escrow account for the benefit of bondholders. The accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts requires that these contracts continue to be accounted for as outstanding contracts despite the elimination of substantially all risk.

Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit I
Quarter Ended Year Ended
December 31 December 31
($ in millions) 2009 2008 2009 2008
$ % $ % $ % $ %

Primary new insurance written

Flow $ 2,414 100.0 % $ 5,025 99.7 % $ 16,969 100.0 % $ 31,265 96.2 %
Structured - - 14 0.3 % - - 1,248 3.8 %
Total Primary $ 2,414 100.0 % $ 5,039 100.0 % $ 16,969 100.0 % $ 32,513 100.0 %
Flow
Prime $ 2,412 99.9 % $ 5,003 99.6 % $ 16,942 99.8 % $ 29,359 93.9 %
Alt-A - - 16 0.3 % 11 0.1 % 1,170 3.7 %
A minus and below 2 0.1 % 6 0.1 % 16 0.1 % 736 2.4 %
Total Flow $ 2,414 100.0 % $ 5,025 100.0 % $ 16,969 100.0 % $ 31,265 100.0 %
Structured
Prime $ - - $ 13 92.9 % $ - - $ 1,245 99.8 %
Alt-A - - 1 7.1 % - - 3 0.2 %
Total Structured $ - - $ 14 100.0 % $ - - $ 1,248 100.0 %
Total
Prime $ 2,412 99.9 % $ 5,016 99.6 % $ 16,942 99.8 % $ 30,604 94.1 %
Alt-A - - 17 0.3 % 11 0.1 % 1,173 3.6 %
A minus and below 2 0.1 % 6 0.1 % 16 0.1 % 736 2.3 %
Total Primary $ 2,414 100.0 % $ 5,039 100.0 % $ 16,969 100.0 % $ 32,513 100.0 %

Total primary new insurance written by FICO score

Flow
>=740 $ 1,829 75.8 % $ 2,880 57.3 % $ 12,293 72.5 % $ 14,792 47.3 %

680-739

581 24.1 % 1,725 34.3 % 4,403 25.9 % 11,454 36.6 %

620-679

4 0.1 % 419 8.4 % 272 1.6 % 4,642 14.9 %
<=619 - - 1

-

% 1 - 377 1.2 %
Total Flow $ 2,414 100.0 % $ 5,025 100.0 % $ 16,969 100.0 % $ 31,265 100.0 %
Structured
>=740 $ - - $ 10 71.4 % $ - - $ 790 63.3 %

680-739

- - 4 28.6 % - - 441 35.3 %

620-679

- - -

-

% - - 17 1.4 %
Total Structured $ - - $ 14 100.0 % $ - - $ 1,248 100.0 %

Total

>=740 $ 1,829 75.8 % $ 2,890 57.4 % $ 12,293 72.5 % $ 15,582 47.9 %

680-739

581 24.1 % 1,729 34.3 % 4,403 25.9 % 11,895 36.6 %

620-679

4 0.1 % 419 8.3 % 272 1.6 % 4,659 14.3 %
<=619 - - 1

-

% 1 - 377 1.2 %
Total Primary $ 2,414 100.0 % $ 5,039 100.0 % $ 16,969 100.0 % $ 32,513 100.0 %

Percentage of primary new insurance written

Refinances 26 % 17 % 41 % 30 %
95.01% LTV and above 0.2 % 1 % 0.1 % 11 %
ARMs
Less than 5 years 0.1 % 1 % 0.1 % 1 %
5 years and longer 5.8 % 3 % 1.6 % 8 %

Primary risk written

Flow $ 533 100.0 % $ 1,177 99.8 % $ 3,663 100.0 % $ 7,494 95.9 %
Structured - - 2 0.2 % - - 318 4.1 %
Total Primary $ 533 100.0 % $ 1,179 100.0 % $ 3,663 100.0 % $ 7,812 100.0 %
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit J
December 31 December 31
($ in millions) 2009 2008
$ % $ %

Primary insurance in force

Flow $ 121,596 84.3 % $ 121,439 78.2 %
Structured 22,672 15.7 % 33,800 21.8 %
Total Primary $ 144,268 100.0 % $ 155,239 100.0 %
Prime $ 111,398 77.2 % $ 111,558 71.9 %
Alt-A 22,941 15.9 % 32,623 21.0 %
A minus and below 9,929 6.9 % 11,058 7.1 %
Total Primary $ 144,268 100.0 % $ 155,239 100.0 %

Primary risk in force

Flow $ 29,971 88.8 % $ 30,388 86.9 %
Structured 3,794 11.2 % 4,563 13.1 %
Total Primary $ 33,765 100.0 % $ 34,951 100.0 %
Flow
Prime $ 25,036 83.5 % $ 24,815 81.7 %
Alt-A 3,121 10.4 % 3,584 11.8 %
A minus and below 1,814 6.1 % 1,989 6.5 %
Total Flow $ 29,971 100.0 % $ 30,388 100.0 %
Structured
Prime $ 2,059 54.3 % $ 2,390 52.4 %
Alt-A 1,083 28.5 % 1,412 30.9 %
A minus and below 652 17.2 % 761 16.7 %
Total Structured $ 3,794 100.0 % $ 4,563 100.0 %
Total
Prime $ 27,095 80.2 % $ 27,205 77.8 %
Alt-A 4,204 12.5 % 4,996 14.3 %
A minus and below 2,466 7.3 % 2,750 7.9 %
Total Primary $ 33,765 100.0 % $ 34,951 100.0 %

Total primary risk in force by FICO score

Flow
>=740 $ 10,526 35.1 % $ 9,436 31.1 %

680-739

10,790 36.0 % 11,253 37.0 %

620-679

7,329 24.5 % 8,195 27.0 %
<=619 1,326 4.4 % 1,504 4.9 %
Total Flow $ 29,971 100.0 % $ 30,388 100.0 %
Structured
>=740 $ 1,036 27.3 % $ 1,233 27.0 %

680-739

1,168 30.8 % 1,422 31.2 %

620-679

990 26.1 % 1,205 26.4 %
<=619 600 15.8 % 703 15.4 %
Total Structured $ 3,794 100.0 % $ 4,563 100.0 %
Total
>=740 $ 11,562 34.3 % $ 10,669 30.5 %

680-739

11,958 35.4 % 12,675 36.3 %

620-679

8,319 24.6 % 9,400 26.9 %
<=619 1,926 5.7 % 2,207 6.3 %
Total Primary $ 33,765 100.0 % $ 34,951 100.0 %

Percentage of primary risk in force

Refinances 31 % 30 %
95.01% LTV and above 21 % 22 %
ARMs
Less than 5 years 8 % 9 %
5 years and longer 8 % 9 %

Pool risk in force

Prime $ 1,918 71.1 % $ 2,090 70.8 %
Alt-A 246 9.1 % 291 9.9 %
A minus and below 534 19.8 % 569 19.3 %
Total $ 2,698 100.0 % $ 2,950 100.0 %
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit K
December 31 December 31
($ in millions) 2009 2008
$ % $ %

Total primary risk in force by LTV

85.00% and below $ 3,263 9.6 % $ 3,598 10.3 %
85.01% to 90.00% 12,589 37.3 % 12,331 35.3 %
90.01% to 95.00% 10,996 32.6 % 11,217 32.1 %
95.01% and above 6,917 20.5 % 7,805 22.3 %
Total $ 33,765 100.0 % $ 34,951 100.0 %

Total primary risk in force by policy year

2005 and prior $ 9,709 28.7 % $ 11,526 33.0 %

2006

4,390 13.0 % 5,196 14.9 %

2007

9,443 28.0 % 10,711 30.6 %

2008

6,725 19.9 % 7,518 21.5 %

2009

3,498 10.4 % - -
Total $ 33,765 100.0 % $ 34,951 100.0 %

Total pool risk in force by policy year

2005 and prior $ 2,183 80.9 % $ 2,402 81.4 %

2006

236 8.7 % 252 8.6 %

2007

223 8.3 % 237 8.0 %

2008

56 2.1 % 59 2.0 %
Total pool risk in force $ 2,698 100.0 % $ 2,950 100.0 %

Other risk in force

Second-lien
1st loss $ 147 $ 267
2nd loss 116 355
NIMs 353 438
International
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance 257 413
Reinsurance - 153
Credit default swaps 127 3,361
Other
Domestic credit default swaps - 132
Total other risk in force $ 1,000 $ 5,119
Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only (1) 15.4:1 16.4:1

(1) Starting June 30, 2009, risk in force on policies currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established are deducted from total risk in force used for our risk to capital calculations. Risk to capital ratios for the prior periods have not been restated to conform with this presentation.

Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit L
Quarter Ended Year Ended
($ in thousands) December 31 December 31
2009 2008 2009 2008
Direct claims paid
Prime $ 122,004 $ 87,990 $ 368,820 $ 310,965
Alt-A 70,295 58,262 219,544 210,700
A minus and below 47,196 48,701 163,069 211,612
Second-lien and other 14,849 44,778 66,584 182,872
Subtotal 254,344 239,731 818,017 916,149
Impact of first-lien terminations 197,692 - 197,692 -
Impact of captive terminations (25,194 ) - (132,941 ) -
Impact of second-lien terminations - - 87,323 -
Total $ 426,842 $ 239,731 $ 970,091 $ 916,149
Average claim paid (1)
Prime $ 44.0 $ 43.4 $ 42.8 $ 40.9
Alt-A 56.9 57.3 54.9 54.8
A minus and below 39.8 40.4 39.1 39.0
Second-lien and other 38.0 36.8 41.2 35.5
Total $ 45.5 $ 43.9 $ 44.5 $ 41.6
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis 242.5 % 268.4 % 179.6 % 250.4 %
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis 18.5 % 17.2 % 23.2 % 29.3 % (2)
261.0 % 285.6 % 202.8 % 279.7 %
Reserve for losses by category
Prime $ 1,265,859 $ 829,097
Alt-A 767,043 977,177
A minus and below 456,281 446,193
Pool insurance 295,996 107,441
Second-lien 43,579 136,591
Other 136 1,659
Reserve for losses, net 2,828,894 2,498,158
Reinsurance recoverable 621,644 (3) 491,836
Total $ 3,450,538 $ 2,989,994

(1) Calculated without giving effect to the impact of first-lien, second-lien and captive terminations.

(2) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.
(3) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($490 million) and Smart Home ($131 million).
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit M
December 31 December 31
2009 2008

Default Statistics

Primary insurance:
Flow

Prime

Number of insured loans 614,590 624,970
Number of loans in default 78,130 44,575
Percentage of loans in default 12.71% 7.13%

Alt-A

Number of insured loans 60,616 68,948
Number of loans in default 22,177 16,959
Percentage of loans in default 36.59% 24.60%

A minus and below

Number of insured loans 53,932 59,189
Number of loans in default 20,911 15,768
Percentage of loans in default 38.77% 26.64%
Total Flow
Number of insured loans 729,138 753,107
Number of loans in default 121,218 77,302
Percentage of loans in default 16.62% 10.26%
Structured

Prime

Number of insured loans 52,629 67,165
Number of loans in default 7,520 6,692
Percentage of loans in default 14.29% 9.96%

Alt-A

Number of insured loans 43,615 80,491
Number of loans in default 15,295 18,747
Percentage of loans in default 35.07% 23.29%

A minus and below

Number of insured loans 19,287 22,315
Number of loans in default 7,965 7,812
Percentage of loans in default 41.30% 35.01%
Total Structured
Number of insured loans 115,531 169,971
Number of loans in default 30,780 33,251
Percentage of loans in default 26.64% 19.56%
Total Primary Insurance

Prime

Number of insured loans 667,219 692,135
Number of loans in default 85,650 51,267
Percentage of loans in default 12.84% 7.41%

Alt-A

Number of insured loans 104,231 149,439
Number of loans in default 37,472 35,706
Percentage of loans in default 35.95% 23.89%

A minus and below

Number of insured loans 73,219 81,504
Number of loans in default 28,876 23,580
Percentage of loans in default 39.44% 28.93%
Total Primary Insurance
Number of insured loans 844,669 923,078
Number of loans in default (1) 151,998 110,553
Percentage of loans in default 17.99% 11.98%
Pool insurance:
Number of loans in default (2) 36,397 32,677

(1)

Includes an estimated 3,302 and 5,373 defaults at December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, for which reserves have not been established because they were associated with transactions where no claim payment was anticipated primarily due to deductibles or where a partial reserve has been recorded that is less than the gross calculated reserve due to the presence of a deductible.

(2)

Includes an estimated 18,033 and 23,364 defaults at December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, for which reserves have not been established because they were associated with transactions where no claim payment was anticipated primarily due to deductibles or where a partial reserve has been recorded that is less than the gross calculated reserve due to the presence of a deductible.

Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit N
Quarter Ended Year Ended
December 31 December 31
2009 2008 2009 2008

Net Premiums Written (In thousands)

Primary and Pool Insurance $ 166,188 $ 181,173 $ 650,060 $ 759,943
Second-lien 709 (1 ) 3,028 (41 ) (1 ) 11,458
International (2,699 ) (1 ) 4,167 (19,943 ) (1 ) 15,831
Total Net Premiums Written - Insurance $ 164,198 $ 188,368 $ 630,076 $ 787,232

Net Premiums Earned (In thousands)

Primary and Pool Insurance $ 185,306 $ 193,706 $ 703,076 $ 768,723
Second-lien 972 4,349 5,621 18,727
International 3,356 5,158 15,726 21,331
Total Net Premiums Earned - Insurance $ 189,634 $ 203,213 $ 724,423 $ 808,781

SMART HOME (In millions)

Ceded Premiums Written $ 2.9 $ 3.0 $ 10.9 $ 13.0
Ceded Premiums Earned $ 2.9 $ 3.0 $ 10.9 $ 13.0

1st Lien Captives

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions) $ 26.8 $ 33.9 $ 129.8 $ 138.3
% of total premiums 12.5 % 14.7 % 15.4 % 15.0 %
NIW subject to captives (In millions) $ 39.9 $ 1,556.8 $ 1,655.6 $ 11,824.9
% of primary NIW 1.7 % 30.9 % 9.8 % 36.4 %
IIF included in captives (2) 29.3 % 34.8 %
RIF included in captives (2) 31.5 % 43.8 %
Persistency (twelve months ended December 31) 82.0 % 85.8 %
December 31 December 31
2009 2008
SMART HOME
% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (2) 3.4 % 3.7 %

(1)

Reflects the impact of second-lien and international terminations.

(2)

Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit O
Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year (1)
December 31 December 31
($ in millions)

2009

2008 (5)
Book Year (2): Original Book RIF Progression to Attachment Point Gross Current RIF Ceded Current RIF(3) Net Current RIF Ever-to-Date Incurred Losses Reinsurance Benefit (4) Gross Current RIF Ceded Current RIF(3) Net Current RIF Ever-to-Date Incurred Losses Reinsurance Benefit (4)
Pre-2006 0-50 % $ 375 $ 62 $ 313 $ 142 $ 1,120 $ 558 $ 562 $ 239
Pre-2006 50-75 % 325 185 140 86 942 349 593 142
Pre-2006 75-99 % 557 231 326 127 1,084 397 687 160
Pre-2006 Attached 1,673 452 1,221 381 $ 139 1,355 237 1,118 184 $ 75
Pre-2006 Total $ 20,988 $ 2,930 $ 930 $ 2,000 $ 736 $ 139 $ 4,501 $ 1,541 $ 2,960 $ 725 $ 75
2006 0-50 % $ 1 $ - $ 1 $ - $ 32 $ 2 $ 30 $ 1
2006 50-75 % 16 1 15 1 62 4 58 3
2006 75-99 % 13 1 12 1 310 42 268 18
2006 Attached 1,695 242 1,453 355 $ 163 2,074 270 1,804 290 $ 161
2006 Total $ 2,769 $ 1,725 $ 244 $ 1,481 $ 357 $ 163 $ 2,478 $ 318 $ 2,160 $ 312 $ 161
2007 0-50 % $ 1 $ - $ 1 $ - $ 31 $ 2 $ 29 $ -
2007 50-75 % 12 1 11 - 225 12 213 8
2007 75-99 % 15 1 14 1 71 7 64 3
2007 Attached 3,446 391 3,055 437 $ 191 4,329 454 3,875 350 $ 147
2007 Total $ 4,311 $ 3,474 $ 393 $ 3,081 $ 438 $ 191 $ 4,656 $ 475 $ 4,181 $ 361 $ 147
2008 0-50 % $ 298 $ 22 $ 276 $ 6 $ 2,167 $ 197 $ 1,970 $ 25
2008 50-75 % 149 8 141 6 42 4 38 1
2008 75-99 % 1,454 166 1,288 56 - - - -
2008 Attached 159 14 145 19 $ 11 190 15 175 16 $ 9
2008 Total $ 2,386 $ 2,060 $ 210 $ 1,850 $ 87 $ 11 $ 2,399 $ 216 $ 2,183 $ 42 $ 9

2009

0-50 % $ 284 $ 12 $ 272 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
2009 50-75 % - - - - - - - -
2009 75-99 % - - - - - - - -
2009 Attached - - - - $ - - - - - $ -
2009 Total $ 298 $ 284 $ 12 $ 272 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Quota Share 0-50 % $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Quota Share 50-75 % - - - - - - - -
Quota Share 75-99 % - - - - - - - -
Quota Share Attached 102 33 69 37 $ 17 116 37 79 27 $ 12
Quota Share Total $ 313 $ 102 $ 33 $ 69 $ 37 $ 17 $ 116 $ 37 $ 79 $ 27 $ 12
Total Captive (Including Quota Share) $ 31,065 $ 10,575 $ 1,822 $ 8,753 $ 1,655 $ 521 $ 14,150 $ 2,587 $ 11,563 $ 1,467 $ 404
SmartHome 0-50 % $ 32 $ 14 $ 18 $ 12 $ 117 $ 51 $ 66 $ 27
SmartHome 50-75 % 71 29 42 23 - - - -
SmartHome 75-99 % - - - - - - - -
SmartHome Attached 1,029 492 537 435 $ 143 1,188 521 667 346 $ 91
Total SmartHome $ 3,900 $ 1,132 $ 535 $ 597 $ 470 $ 143 $ 1,305 $ 572 $ 733 $ 373 $ 91

(1)

Data is presented in the aggregate for all trusts for captives with risk in force at each period end only. Actual trust attachment points and exit points vary by individual contract. The attachment point is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves.

(2)

Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions.

(3)

Risk ceded to reinsurers based on individual contract terms.

(4)

Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust for captives with risk in force at period end only. Reinsurance benefit at December 31, 2009 excludes $71 million of recoveries recognized from the terminations of certain captive reinsurance agreements during the year.

(5)

Revised from December 31, 2008 originally presented.

Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Modified Pool
Exhibit P
December 31 December 31
($ in millions) 2009 2008
$ % $ %

Primary risk in force by policy year

2005 and prior $ 243 41.7 % $ 295 34.8 %

2006

98 16.8 % 211 24.9 %

2007

235 40.3 % 333 39.3 %

2008

7 1.2 % 8 1.0 %
Total $ 583 100.0 % $ 847 100.0 %

Primary risk in force by product

Prime $ 104 17.8 % $ 154 18.2 %
Alt-A 456 78.2 % 668 78.9 %
A minus and below 23 4.0 % 25 2.9 %
Total $ 583 100.0 % $ 847 100.0 %

Primary insurance in force by product

Prime $ 1,508 16.0 % $ 3,141 17.0 %
Alt-A 7,649 81.2 % 15,027 81.4 %
A minus and below 258 2.8 % 294 1.6 %
Total $ 9,415 100.0 % $ 18,462 100.0 %

Default Statistics:

Primary Insurance:

Total modified pool

Number of insured loans 42,509 86,350
Number of loans in default 12,677 16,725
Percentage of loans in default 29.82 % 19.37 %
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
ALT-A
Exhibit Q
December 31
($ in millions) 2009 2008
$ % $ %

Primary risk in force by FICO score

>=740 $ 1,037 24.7 % $ 1,227 24.6 %

680-739

2,028 48.2 % 2,399 48.0 %

660-679

610 14.5 % 734 14.7 %

620-659

500 11.9 % 603 12.1 %
<=619 29 0.7 % 33 0.6 %
Total $ 4,204 100.0 % $ 4,996 100.0 %

Primary risk in force by LTV

85.00% and below $ 977 23.2 % $ 1,275 25.5 %
85.01% to 90.00% 1,805 42.9 % 2,077 41.6 %
90.01% to 95.00% 1,125 26.8 % 1,295 25.9 %
95.01% and above 297 7.1 % 349 7.0 %
Total $ 4,204 100.0 % $ 4,996 100.0 %

Primary risk in force by policy year

2005 and prior $ 1,363 32.4 % $ 1,583 31.6 %

2006

889 21.2 % 1,109 22.2 %

2007

1,720 40.9 % 2,051 41.1 %

2008

231 5.5 % 253 5.1 %

2009

1 - - -
Total $ 4,204 100.0 % $ 4,996 100.0 %
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Services Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit R
Quarter Ended Year Ended
December 31 December 31
(In thousands) 2009 2008 2009 2008
Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information
Sherman
Balance, beginning of period $ 111,979 $ 87,217 $ 99,656 $ 104,315
Net income for period 9,618 15,754 33,226 59,782
Dividends received - - (11,040 ) (35,460 )

Other comprehensive loss

(173 ) (3,315 ) (418 ) (3,195 )
Adjustment to investment related to buyback of MGIC interest - - - (25,786 )
Balance, end of period $ 121,424 $ 99,656 $ 121,424 $ 99,656
Portfolio Information:
Sherman
Total assets $ 1,913,296 $ 2,355,660
Net revenues $ 277,611 $ 345,914 $ 1,245,686 $ 1,504,368
Radian Group Inc.
Impact of Mortgage Insurance Terminations
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
Exhibit S
($ in millions)
As Reported Impact of Prior to
December 31 Mortgage Insurance Mortgage Insurance
2009 Terminations Terminations

Primary insurance in force

Prime $ 111,398 $ 1,376 $ 112,774
Alt-A 22,941 6,094 29,035
A minus and below 9,929 4 9,933
Total Primary $ 144,268 $ 7,474 $ 151,742

Primary risk in force

Prime $ 27,095 $ 43 $ 27,138
Alt-A 4,204 194 4,398
A minus and below 2,466 - 2,466
Total Primary $ 33,765 $ 237 $ 34,002

Pool risk in force

Prime $ 1,918 $ 26 $ 1,944
Alt-A 246 - 246
A minus and below 534 4 538
Total Pool $ 2,698 $ 30 $ 2,728

Primary insurance in force-modified pool (1)

Prime $ 1,508 $ 1,376 $ 2,884
Alt-A 7,649 6,094 13,743
A minus and below 258 4 262
Total Primary $ 9,415 $ 7,474 $ 16,889

Primary risk in force-modified pool (1)

Prime $ 104 $ 43 $ 147
Alt-A 456 194 650
A minus and below 23 - 23
Total Primary $ 583 $ 237 $ 820

Default Statistics:

Total Primary Insurance

Prime

Number of insured loans 667,219 7,259 674,478
Number of loans in default 85,650 1,671 87,321
Percentage of loans in default 12.84 % 23.02 % 12.95 %

Alt-A

Number of insured loans 104,231 29,553 133,784
Number of loans in default 37,472 10,894 48,366
Percentage of loans in default 35.95 % 36.86 % 36.15 %

A minus and below

Number of insured loans 73,219 31 73,250
Number of loans in default 28,876 10 28,886
Percentage of loans in default 39.44 % 32.26 % 39.43 %
Total Primary Insurance
Number of insured loans 844,669 36,843 881,512
Number of loans in default 151,998 12,575 164,573
Percentage of loans in default 17.99 % 34.13 % 18.67 %
Total modified pool insurance (1)
Number of insured loans 42,509 36,840 79,349
Number of loans in default 12,677 12,573 25,250
Percentage of loans in default 29.82 % 34.13 % 31.82 %
Total pool insurance
Number of loans in default 36,397 2,311 38,708
(1) Included in primary insurance.

Forward-Looking Statements

Some of the statements in this release constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Generally, words such as "anticipate," "may," "will," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "intend," "plan," "goal," "contemplate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "project," "potential," "continue," or other variations on these and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are only predictions and, as such, are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions as to future events or our future financial performance that may not prove to be accurate. These statements speak only as of the date of this news release, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ from those projected in such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, the following:

  • changes in general financial and political conditions, such as the failure of the U.S. economy to recover from the most recent recession or the U.S. economy reentering a recessionary period following a brief period of stabilization or even growth, the lack of meaningful liquidity in the capital markets or in the credit markets, a prolonged period of high unemployment rates and limited home price appreciation or further depreciation (which has resulted in some borrowers voluntarily defaulting on their mortgages when their mortgage balances exceed the value of their homes), changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance;
  • catastrophic events or further economic changes in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated;
  • our ability to successfully execute upon our capital plan for our mortgage insurance business (which depends, in part, on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio), and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support new business writings in our mortgage insurance business and the long-term liquidity needs of our holding company;
  • a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the decrease in housing demand throughout the U.S.;
  • our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of ongoing losses in this business and continued deterioration in our financial guaranty portfolio which, in the absence of new capital, may depend on our ability to execute strategies for which regulatory and other approvals are required and may not be obtained;
  • our ability to continue to effectively mitigate our mortgage insurance losses;
  • reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values do not appreciate or continue to decline;
  • the negative impact our increased levels of insurance rescissions and claim denials may have on our relationships with customers, including potentially heightened disputes and litigation;
  • the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers;
  • disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies;
  • the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;
  • the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A ("Alt-A") and subprime loans, and of adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages;
  • a decrease in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies;
  • an increase in the risk profile of our existing mortgage insurance portfolio due to mortgage refinancing in the current housing market;
  • further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc.);
  • heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans' Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies);
  • changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae") and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;
  • changes to the current system of housing finance, including the possibility of a new system in which private mortgage insurers are not required or its services are significantly limited in scope;
  • the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, tax, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance, or (iii) legislation or regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate;
  • the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or premium deficiencies for our mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative instruments in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts;
  • the ability of our primary insurance customers in our financial guaranty reinsurance business to provide appropriate surveillance and to mitigate losses adequately with respect to our assumed insurance portfolio;
  • volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiency in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis;
  • changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Accounting Standards Board;
  • legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through our tax- and expense-sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and
  • our investment in, and other arrangements with, Sherman Financial Group LLC, which could be negatively affected in the current credit environment if Sherman is unable to maintain sufficient sources of funding for its business activities or remain in compliance with its credit facilities.

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should review the risks described under Item 1A, "Risk Factors" under our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q/A for the quarter ended September 30, 2009 and subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

SOURCE: Radian Group Inc.

Radian
Emily Riley, 215-231-1035
emily.riley@radian.com