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01/28/2016

Radian Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2015 Financial Results

- Full year 2015 net income of $287 million or $1.22 per diluted share –

- Full year 2015 adjusted pretax operating income of $511 million or $1.40 per diluted share –

- Book value per share increases 10% year-over-year to $12.07

PHILADELPHIA--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Jan. 28, 2016-- Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, of $74.5 million, or $0.32 per diluted share. Net income for the full year 2015 was $286.9 million, or $1.22 per diluted share. GAAP net income for 2015 and 2014 are not directly comparable due to the significant impact in 2014 of the sale of Radian Asset Assurance Inc., Radian’s former financial guaranty subsidiary, and the reversal of the company’s deferred tax asset (DTA) valuation allowance.

           

Key Financial Highlights (dollars in millions, except per share data)

     

Quarter Ended

December 31, 2015

   

Quarter Ended

December 31, 2014

   

Percent

Change

Net income from continuing operations     $74.5     $878.0     (92%)
Diluted net income per share from continuing operations     $0.32     $3.63     (91%)
Adjusted pretax operating income     $124.1     $58.4     113%
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share *     $0.34     $0.17     100%
Revenues     $274.9     $295.1     (7%)
Net premiums earned - insurance     $226.4     $224.3     1%
Income (loss) on discontinued operations, net of tax    

--

   

($449.7)

   

--

Income tax benefit resulting from reversal of DTA valuation allowance    

--

   

$815.6

   

--

 

 

   

Year Ended

December 31, 2015

   

Year Ended

December 31, 2014

   

Percent

Change

Net income from continuing operations     $281.5     $1,259.6     (78%)
Diluted net income per share from continuing operations     $1.20     $5.44     (78%)
Adjusted pretax operating income     $510.9     $342.4     49%
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share *     $1.40     $1.01     39%
Revenues     $1,193.3     $1,072.7     11%
Net premiums earned - insurance     $915.9     $844.5     8%
Income (loss) on discontinued operations, net of tax    

$5.4

   

($300.1)

   

--

Income tax benefit resulting from reversal of DTA valuation allowance    

--

   

$995.0

   

--

Book value per share     $12.07     $10.98     10%

* Adjusted diluted net operating income per share is calculated using the company’s statutory tax rate.

Adjusted pretax operating income for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, was $124.1 million, compared to $58.4 million for the same period of 2014. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, was $0.34, compared to $0.17 for the same period of 2014. Adjusted pretax operating income for the year ended December 31, 2015, was $510.9 million, compared to $342.4 million for the same period of 2014. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share for the twelve months ended December 31, 2015, was $1.40, compared to $1.01 for the same period of 2014. See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

Book value per share at December 31, 2015, was $12.07, compared to $11.77 at September 30, 2015, and $10.98 at December 31, 2014.

“Radian’s fourth quarter was a strong finish to an equally strong full-year 2015,” said Radian’s Chief Executive Officer S.A. Ibrahim. “We successfully grew adjusted pretax operating income by 49% year-over-year, wrote an amount of high-quality and profitable flow MI business that was among the highest in our company history, and improved the credit profile of our MI portfolio. I am pleased to say that we strongly believe Radian is better positioned today than ever before to drive long-term stockholder value.”

FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR HIGHLIGHTS

Mortgage Insurance

  • New mortgage insurance written (NIW) was $41.4 billion for the full year 2015, compared to $37.3 billion for the prior-year period. NIW was $9.1 billion for the quarter, compared to $11.2 billion in the third quarter of 2015 and $10.0 billion in the prior-year quarter.
    • Of the $9.1 billion in new business written in the fourth quarter of 2015, 29 percent was written with single premiums, compared to 27 percent in the third quarter of 2015.
    • Refinances accounted for 17 percent of total NIW in the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to 13 percent in the third quarter of 2015, and 22 percent a year ago.
    • NIW continued to consist of loans with excellent risk characteristics.
  • Total primary mortgage insurance in force as of December 31, 2015, grew to $175.6 billion, compared to $174.9 billion as of September 30, 2015, and $171.8 billion as of December 31, 2014.
    • Persistency, which is the percentage of mortgage insurance in force that remains on the company’s books after a twelve-month period, was 78.8 percent as of December 31, 2015, compared to 79.2 percent as of September 30, 2015, and 84.2 percent as of December 31, 2014.
    • Annualized persistency for the three-months ended December 31, 2015, was 81.8 percent, compared to 80.5 percent for the three-months ended September 30, 2015, and 83.3 percent for the three-months ended December 31, 2014.
  • Total net premiums earned were $226.4 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, compared to $227.4 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2015, and $224.3 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2014.
  • The mortgage insurance provision for losses was $56.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to $64.1 million in the third quarter of 2015, and $83.6 million in the prior-year period.
    • The provision for losses in the fourth quarter included the positive impact of a reduction in the company’s default to claim rate assumption for new notices of default.
    • The loss ratio in the fourth quarter was 25.1 percent, compared to 28.2 percent in the third quarter of 2015 and 36.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014.
    • Mortgage insurance loss reserves were $976.4 million as of December 31, 2015, compared to $1,098.6 million as of September 30, 2015, and $1,560.0 million as of December 31, 2014.
    • Primary reserve per primary default (excluding IBNR and other reserves) was $24,019 as of December 31, 2015. This compares to primary reserve per primary default of $26,237 as of September 30, 2015, and $27,683 as of December 31, 2014. In addition to the reduction in the company's default to claim rate assumption, the decrease in the primary reserve per primary default was the result of a change in the mix of defaults from aged defaults to less aged defaults, which require a comparatively smaller reserve.
  • The total number of primary delinquent loans decreased by 2 percent in the fourth quarter from the third quarter of 2015, and by 22 percent from the fourth quarter of 2014. The primary mortgage insurance delinquency rate decreased to 4.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to 4.1 percent in the third quarter of 2015, and 5.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014.
  • Total mortgage insurance claims paid were $176.5 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $169.1 million in the third quarter, and $117.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2014. For the full-year 2015, total claims paid were $764.7 million, compared to $838.3 million for the full-year 2014. Claims paid in 2015 included claims related to the September 2014 BofA Settlement Agreement. The company continues to expect claims paid for the full-year 2016 of approximately $400–450 million.

Mortgage and Real Estate Services

  • On June 30, 2014, Radian completed the acquisition of Clayton Holdings LLC, a leading provider of risk-based analytics, residential loan due diligence, consulting, surveillance and staffing solutions. The company also provides
    • customized Real Estate Owned (REO) asset management and single-family rental services through its Green River Capital subsidiary;
    • advanced Automated Valuation Models, Broker Price Opinions and technology solutions to monitor loan portfolio performance, acquire and track non-performing loans, and value and sell residential real estate through its Red Bell Real Estate subsidiary;
    • valuation, title closing and settlement services as well as technology solutions for vendor management through its ValuAmerica subsidiary; and
    • a global reach through its Clayton EuroRisk subsidiary.
  • Total revenues were $157.4 million for the full year 2015, its first full year of operations as a subsidiary of Radian. Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $38.2 million, compared to $43.1 million for the third quarter of 2015, and $35.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2014.
  • Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations for the quarter ended December 31, 2015, was $3.6 million, compared to $5.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2015, and $7.3 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2014. Earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 was $4.2 million, compared to $6.3 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2015, and $7.7 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2014. You may find details regarding these non-GAAP measures and their definition in Exhibits E, F and G.
  • In October 2015, Clayton announced that it had acquired ValuAmerica, Inc., a national title agency and appraisal management company with coverage across all 3,143 counties in the U.S. In addition, the company's award-winning technology platform, ValuNet xsp, helps mortgage lenders and their vendors streamline and manage their supply chains and operational workflow. The acquisition expands the scope of title and valuation services Clayton offers to its mortgage clients and is consistent with the company’s strategy of being a complete solution provider to the mortgage and real estate industries.

Consolidated Expenses

Other operating expenses were $59.6 million in the fourth quarter, compared to $65.1 million in the third quarter of 2015, and $85.8 million in the fourth quarter of last year.

  • Operating expenses for the fourth quarter of 2015 were comprised of $46.7 million for the Mortgage Insurance segment, compared to $51.5 million in the third quarter of 2015, and $76.3 million in the fourth quarter of last year.
  • Operating expenses for the fourth quarter of 2015 were comprised of $12.7 million for the Services segment, compared to $13.1 million in the third quarter of 2015, and $9.1 million in the fourth quarter of last year.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2014, other operating expenses of $85.8 million included $24.4 million related to long-term compensation expenses and other year-end bonus accruals, a significant portion of which was driven by the variable compensation expense related to an increase in the company’s stock price.

CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY UPDATE

Radian Group has approximately $340 million of currently available liquidity.

  • As previously announced, Radian Guaranty met the Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (PMIERs) as of the December 31, 2015, effective date by taking the following actions:
    • Radian Group transferred $325 million of cash and marketable securities to Radian Guaranty in exchange for a surplus note issued by Radian Guaranty. The surplus note has a 0 percent interest rate and is scheduled to mature on December 31, 2025. Based on positive trends reflected in its capital projections, Radian Guaranty expects to seek to redeem a portion and possibly all of the surplus note in 2016, and any remaining amounts in 2017. Any redemption of the surplus note increases holding company liquidity by the corresponding amount of the redemption.
    • Radian Group contributed $50 million to an exclusive affiliated reinsurer of Radian Guaranty. The combination of the surplus note and capital contribution provides Radian Guaranty with an initial cushion above the projected amount required to satisfy the PMIERs’ financial requirements. This cushion is expected to increase based in part on expected future financial performance at Radian Guaranty; as a result, Radian Guaranty is not expected to require any additional capital contributions in order to remain compliant.
    • In order to reduce the company’s required capital under PMIERs, Radian Guaranty is pursuing a reinsurance transaction that is intended to reduce the exposure on its single premium policies. The company has made substantial progress toward a potential transaction and may enter into such a program as early as the first quarter of 2016.
  • As of December 31, 2015, a total of $2.1 billion of risk in force outstanding had been ceded under quota share reinsurance agreements in order to proactively manage Radian Guaranty’s risk-to-capital position. Radian has ceded the maximum amount of NIW under these agreements and did not cede any premium on new business in 2015. On December 31, 2015, Radian Guaranty had the option to recapture a portion of the risk ceded under its existing Second Quota Share Reinsurance Transaction. The company chose not to recapture that risk and received a profit commission of approximately $8 million in 2015 based on performance to date. In addition, Radian Guaranty received an $8.5 million prepaid supplemental ceding commission, the recognition of which has been deferred and will be amortized over approximately the next five years.
  • As previously announced on January 15, 2016, Radian’s Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program that authorizes the company to purchase up to $100 million of its common stock through the end of 2016. The shares may be purchased in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions. The authorization provides Radian the flexibility to repurchase shares opportunistically from time to time, based on market and business conditions, stock price and other factors. Radian may utilize a Rule 10b5-1 plan, which would permit the company to purchase shares, at pre-determined price targets, when it may otherwise be precluded from doing so.

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss fourth quarter and year-end 2015 results in a conference call today, Thursday, January 28, 2016, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time.

The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet at http://www.radian.biz/page?name=Webcasts or at www.radian.com. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800.288.8961 inside the U.S., or 612.332.0226 for international callers, using passcode 383877 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available approximately two and a half hours after the call ends for a period of two weeks, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800.475.6701 inside the U.S., or 320.365.3844 for international callers, passcode 383877.

In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's website under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking on http://www.radian.biz/page?name=QuarterlyResults.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

Radian believes that adjusted pretax operating income and adjusted diluted net operating income per share (non-GAAP measures) facilitate evaluation of the company’s fundamental financial performance and provide relevant and meaningful information to investors about the ongoing operating results of the company. On a consolidated basis, these measures are not recognized in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. The measures described below have been established in order to increase transparency for the purpose of evaluating the company’s core operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with Radian’s competitors.

Adjusted pretax operating income is defined as earnings excluding the impact of certain items that are not viewed as part of the operating performance of the company’s primary activities, or not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss) from continuing operations. Adjusted pretax operating income adjusts GAAP pretax income from continuing operations to remove the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments; (ii) loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment; (iii) acquisition-related expenses; (iv) amortization and impairment of intangible assets; and (v) net impairment losses recognized in earnings. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share represents a diluted net income per share calculation using as its basis adjusted pretax operating income, net of taxes at the company’s statutory tax rate for the period.

In addition to the above non-GAAP measures for the consolidated company, the company also presents as supplemental information a non-GAAP measure for the Services segment, representing earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Services EBITDA is calculated by using adjusted pretax operating income as described above, further adjusted to remove the impact of depreciation and corporate allocations for interest and operating expenses. Services EBITDA is presented to facilitate comparisons with other services companies, since it is a widely accepted measure of performance in the services industry.

See Exhibit F or Radian’s website for a description of these items, as well as Exhibit G for reconciliations to the most comparable consolidated GAAP measures.

ABOUT RADIAN

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance, risk management products and real estate services to financial institutions. Radian offers products and services through two business segments:

  • Mortgage Insurance, through its principal mortgage insurance subsidiary Radian Guaranty Inc. This private mortgage insurance protects lenders from default-related losses, facilitates the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market and enables homebuyers to purchase homes more quickly with downpayments less than 20%.
  • Mortgage and Real Estate Services, through its principal services subsidiary Clayton, as well as Green River Capital, Red Bell Real Estate and ValuAmerica. These solutions include information and services that financial institutions, investors and government entities use to evaluate, acquire, securitize, service and monitor loans and asset-backed securities.

Additional information may be found at www.radian.com.

 

FINANCIAL RESULTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CONTENTS

(Unaudited)

 

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/page?name=FinancialReportsCorporate.

   
Exhibit A: Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations Trend Schedule
Exhibit B: Net Income Per Share Trend Schedule
Exhibit C: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit D: Discontinued Operations
Exhibit E: Segment Information
Exhibit F: Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure
Exhibit G: Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit H: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
New Insurance Written
Exhibit I: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force by Product, Statutory Capital Ratios
Exhibit J: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
Percentage of Primary Risk in Force by FICO, LTV and Policy Year
Exhibit K: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
Claims and Reserves
Exhibit L: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
Default Statistics
Exhibit M: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
Captives, QSR and Persistency
 
 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations Trend Schedule

Exhibit A (page 1 of 2)

 
    2015     2014

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Qtr 4     Qtr 3     Qtr 2     Qtr 1 Qtr 4
 
Revenues:
Net premiums earned - insurance $ 226,443 $ 227,433 $ 237,437 $ 224,595 $ 224,293
Services revenue 37,493 42,189 43,503 30,630 34,450
Net investment income 22,833 22,091 19,285 17,328 16,531
Net (losses) gains on investments and other financial instruments (13,402 ) 3,868 28,448 16,779 17,983
Other income   1,515     1,711     1,743     1,331     1,793  
Total revenues   274,882     297,292     330,416     290,663     295,050  
 
Expenses:
Provision for losses 56,805 64,192 32,560 45,028 82,867
Policy acquisition costs 4,831 2,880 6,963 7,750 6,443
Direct cost of services 22,241 24,949 23,520 19,253 19,709
Other operating expenses 59,570 65,082 67,731 53,774 85,800
Interest expense 20,996 21,220 24,501 24,385 24,200
Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment 2,320 11 91,876

Amortization and impairment of intangible assets   3,409     3,273     3,281     3,023     5,354  
Total expenses   170,172     181,607     250,432     153,213     224,373  
 
Pretax income from continuing operations 104,710 115,685 79,984 137,450 70,677
Income tax provision (benefit)   30,182     45,594     34,791     45,723     (807,349 )
Net income from continuing operations 74,528 70,091 45,193 91,727 878,026
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax           4,855     530     (449,691 )
Net income $ 74,528   $ 70,091   $ 50,048   $ 92,257   $ 428,335  
 
Diluted net income per share:
Net income from continuing operations $ 0.32 $ 0.29 $ 0.20 $ 0.39 $ 3.63
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax           0.02         (1.85 )
Net income $ 0.32   $ 0.29   $ 0.22   $ 0.39   $ 1.78  
 
Selected Mortgage Insurance Key Ratios
Loss ratio (1) 25.1 % 28.2 % 13.3 % 20.4 % 36.9 %
Expense ratio - NPE basis (1) 22.7 % 23.9 % 25.8 % 23.0 % 36.9 %
Expense ratio - NPW basis (2) 22.1 % 22.5 % 24.4 % 21.3 % 33.8 %
 

(1)

 

Calculated on a GAAP basis using net premiums earned (“NPE”).

(2)

Calculated on a GAAP basis using net premiums written (“NPW”).

 

On April 1, 2015, Radian Guaranty completed the previously disclosed sale of 100% of the issued and outstanding shares of Radian Asset Assurance to Assured, pursuant to the Radian Asset Assurance Stock Purchase Agreement dated as of December 22, 2014. As a result, the operating results of Radian Asset Assurance are classified as discontinued operations for all periods presented in our condensed consolidated statements of operations. See Exhibit D for additional information on discontinued operations.

 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations

Exhibit A (page 2 of 2)

 
    Year Ended
December 31,

(In thousands, except per-share data)

2015     2014
 
Revenues:
Net premiums earned - insurance $ 915,908 $ 844,528
Services revenue 153,815 76,693
Net investment income 81,537 65,655
Net gains on investments and other financial instruments 35,693 79,989
Other income   6,300     5,820  
Total revenues   1,193,253     1,072,685  
 
Expenses:
Provision for losses 198,585 246,083
Policy acquisition costs 22,424 24,446
Direct cost of services 89,963 43,605
Other operating expenses 246,157 252,283
Interest expense 91,102 90,464
Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment 94,207
Amortization and impairment of intangible assets   12,986     8,648  
Total expenses   755,424     665,529  
 
Pretax income from continuing operations 437,829 407,156
Income tax provision (benefit)   156,290     (852,418 )
Net income from continuing operations 281,539 1,259,574
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax (2)   5,385     (300,057 )
Net income $ 286,924   $ 959,517  
 
Diluted net income per share:
Net income from continuing operations $ 1.20 $ 5.44
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   0.02     (1.28 )
Net income $ 1.22   $ 4.16  
 
Selected Mortgage Insurance Key Ratios
Loss ratio (1) 21.7 % 29.1 %
Expense ratio - NPE basis (1) 23.9 % 29.6 %
Expense ratio - NPW basis (2) 22.6 % 27.0 %
 

(1)

 

Calculated on a GAAP basis using net premiums earned (“NPE”).

(2)

Calculated on a GAAP basis using net premiums written (“NPW”).

 
 
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Net Income Per Share Trend Schedule
Exhibit B (page 1 of 2)
 
The calculation of basic and diluted net income per share was as follows:
 
    2015     2014

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Qtr 4     Qtr 3     Qtr 2     Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Net income from continuing operations:
Net income from continuing operations—basic $ 74,528 $ 70,091 $ 45,193 $ 91,727 $ 878,026
Adjustment for dilutive Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, net of tax (1)   3,664   3,714   3,707   3,673   3,641  
Net income from continuing operations—diluted $ 78,192 $ 73,805 $ 48,900 $ 95,400 $ 881,667  
 
Net income:
Net income from continuing operations—basic $ 74,528 $ 70,091 $ 45,193 $ 91,727 $ 878,026
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax       4,855   530   (449,691 )
Net income—basic 74,528 70,091 50,048 92,257 428,335
Adjustment for dilutive Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, net of tax (1)   3,664   3,714   3,707   3,673   3,641  
Net income—diluted $ 78,192 $ 73,805 $ 53,755 $ 95,930 $ 431,976  
 
Average common shares outstanding—basic 206,872 207,938 193,112 191,224 191,053
Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2017 1,057 1,798 12,438 10,886 10,590
Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2019 37,736 37,736 37,736 37,736 37,736
Dilutive effect of stock-based compensation arrangements (2)   2,316   3,323   3,364   3,202   3,422  
Adjusted average common shares outstanding—diluted   247,981   250,795   246,650   243,048   242,801  
 

Net income per share:

Basic:
Net income from continuing operations $ 0.36 $ 0.34 $ 0.23 $ 0.48 $ 4.60 (3)
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax       0.03     (2.36 )
Net income $ 0.36 $ 0.34 $ 0.26 $ 0.48 $ 2.24  
 
Diluted:
Net income from continuing operations $ 0.32 $ 0.29 $ 0.20 $ 0.39 $ 3.63 (3)
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax       0.02     (1.85 )
Net income $ 0.32 $ 0.29 $ 0.22 $ 0.39 $ 1.78  
 

(1)

 

As applicable, includes coupon interest, amortization of discount and fees, and other changes in income or loss that would result from the assumed conversion.

(2)

The following number of shares of our common stock equivalents issued under our stock-based compensation arrangements were not included in the calculation of diluted net income per share because they were anti-dilutive:

 
                           
2015 2014

(In thousands)

Qtr 4         Qtr 3         Qtr 2         Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Shares of common stock equivalents 728 469 264 540 542
 

(3)

 

Includes the tax benefit of $3.36 per share realized relating to the reversal of our valuation allowance in the 4th quarter of 2014.

 
 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Net Income (Loss) Per Share

Exhibit B (page 2 of 2)

 
    Year Ended
December 31,

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

2015     2014
Net income from continuing operations:
Net income from continuing operations - basic $ 281,539 $ 1,259,574
Adjustment for dilutive Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, net of tax (1)   14,758   14,372  
Net income from continuing operations - diluted $ 296,297 $ 1,273,946  
 
Net income:
Net income from continuing operations - basic $ 281,539 $ 1,259,574
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   5,385   (300,057 )
Net income - basic 286,924 959,517

Adjustment for dilutive Convertible Senior Notes due 2019, net of tax (1)

  14,758   14,372  
Net income - diluted $ 301,682 $ 973,889  
 
Average common shares outstanding—basic 199,910 184,551
Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2017 6,293 8,465
Dilutive effect of Convertible Senior Notes due 2019 37,736 37,736

Dilutive effect of stock-based compensation arrangements (2)

  2,393   3,150  
Adjusted average common shares outstanding—diluted   246,332   233,902  
 

Net income (loss) per share:

 
Basic:
Net income from continuing operations $ 1.41 $ 6.83

(3)

Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   0.03   (1.63 )
Net income $ 1.44 $ 5.20  
 
Diluted:
Net income from continuing operations $ 1.20 $ 5.44

(3)

Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax   0.02   (1.28 )
Net income $ 1.22 $ 4.16  
 

(1)

 

As applicable, includes coupon interest, amortization of discount and fees, and other changes in income or loss that would result from the assumed conversion.

(2)

The following number of shares of our common stock equivalents issued under our stock-based compensation arrangements were not included in the calculation of diluted net income per share because they were anti-dilutive:

 

                      Year Ended
December 31,

(In thousands)

2015         2014
Shares of common stock equivalents 728 542

(3)

 

Includes the tax benefit of $4.25 per share realized relating to the reversal of our valuation allowance in 2014.

 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit C

 
    December 31,     September 30,     June 30,     March 31,     December 31,

(In thousands, except per share data)

2015 2015 2015 2015 2014
 
Assets:
Investments $ 4,298,686 $ 4,376,771 $ 4,309,148 $ 3,621,646 $ 3,629,299
Cash 46,898 69,030 51,381 57,204 30,465
Restricted cash 13,000 10,280 12,633 14,220 14,031
Accounts and notes receivable 61,734 65,951 72,093 64,405 85,792
Deferred income taxes, net 577,945 601,893 651,238 649,996 700,201
Goodwill and other intangible assets, net 289,417 287,334 290,640 293,798 288,240
Other assets 364,108 349,657 349,371 340,276 357,864
Assets held for sale               1,755,873   1,736,444
Total assets $ 5,651,788   $ 5,760,916   $ 5,736,504   $ 6,797,418 $ 6,842,336
 
Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:
Unearned premiums $ 680,300 $ 676,938 $ 665,947 $ 657,555 $ 644,504
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses 976,399 1,098,570 1,204,792 1,384,714 1,560,032
Long-term debt 1,219,454 1,230,246 1,224,892 1,202,535 1,192,299
Other liabilities 278,704 311,855 278,929 310,642 326,743
Liabilities held for sale               966,078   947,008
Total liabilities   3,154,857     3,317,609     3,374,560     4,521,524   4,670,586
 
Equity component of currently redeemable convertible senior notes 7,737 8,546 68,982 74,690
 
Common stock 224 224 226 209 209
Additional paid-in capital 1,823,442 1,825,034 1,816,545 1,648,436 1,638,552
Retained earnings 691,742 617,731 548,161 498,593 406,814
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income   (18,477 )   (7,419 )   (11,534 )   59,674   51,485
Total common stockholders’ equity   2,496,931     2,435,570     2,353,398     2,206,912   2,097,060
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity $ 5,651,788   $ 5,760,916   $ 5,736,504   $ 6,797,418 $ 6,842,336
 
Shares outstanding 206,872 206,870 208,587 191,416 191,054
 
Book value per share $ 12.07 $ 11.77 $ 11.28 $ 11.53 $ 10.98
 
 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Discontinued Operations

Exhibit D

 
The income from discontinued operations, net of tax consisted of the following components for the periods indicated:
   
2015

(In thousands)

Qtr 2     Qtr 1
Net premiums earned $ $ 1,007
Net investment income 9,153
Net gains on investments and other financial instruments 7,818 13,668
Change in fair value of derivative instruments       2,625  
Total revenues   7,818     26,453  
 
Provision for losses 502
Policy acquisition costs (191 )
Other operating expense       4,107  
Total expenses       4,418  
 
Equity in net loss of affiliates       (13 )
Income from operations of businesses held for sale 7,818 22,022
Loss on sale (350 ) (13,930 )
Income tax provision   2,613     7,562  
Income from discontinued operations, net of tax $ 4,855   $ 530  
 
 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 1 of 3)

 
Summarized financial information concerning our operating segments as of and for the periods indicated, is as follows. For a definition of adjusted pretax operating income and reconciliations to consolidated GAAP measures, see Exhibits F and G.
                   
Mortgage Insurance
2015 2014

(In thousands)

Qtr 4 Qtr 3 Qtr 2 Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Net premiums written - insurance $ 233,347 $ 242,168 $ 251,082 $ 241,908 $ 244,506
Increase in unearned premiums   (6,904 )   (14,735 )   (13,645 )   (17,313 )   (20,213 )
Net premiums earned - insurance 226,443 227,433 237,437 224,595 224,293
Net investment income (1) 22,833 22,091 19,285 17,328 16,531
Other income (1)   1,515     1,711     1,743     1,331     1,668  
Total   250,791     251,235     258,465     243,254     242,492  
 
Provision for losses 56,817 64,128 31,637 45,851 83,649
Change in expected economic loss or recovery for consolidated VIEs (16 )
Policy acquisition costs 4,831 2,880 6,963 7,750 6,443
Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   37,406     36,632     41,853     34,050         62,591  
Total   99,054     103,640     80,453     87,651         152,667  
Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations 151,737 147,595 178,012 155,603 89,825
Allocation of corporate operating expenses (1) 9,251 14,893 12,516 9,758 13,729
Allocation of interest expense (1)   16,582     16,797     20,070     19,953     19,760  
Adjusted pretax operating income $ 125,904   $ 115,905   $ 145,426   $ 125,892   $ 56,336  
 
 
Services
2015 2014

(In thousands)

Qtr 4 Qtr 3 Qtr 2 Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Services revenue $ 38,175 $ 43,114 $ 44,595 $ 31,532 $ 34,466
Other income                   891  
Total   38,175     43,114     44,595     31,532     35,357  
 
Direct cost of services 22,880 25,870 25,501 19,253 19,709
Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   11,710     11,533     11,522     8,857         8,360  
Total   34,590     37,403     37,023     28,110         28,069  

Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations

3,585 5,711 7,572 3,422 7,288
Allocation of corporate operating expenses 968 1,567 1,307 981 740
Allocation of interest expense   4,414     4,423     4,431     4,432     4,440  

Adjusted pretax operating (loss) income

$ (1,797 ) $ (279 ) $ 1,834   $ (1,991 ) $ 2,108  
 

(1)

 

For periods prior to the quarter ended June 30, 2015, includes certain corporate income and expenses that have been reallocated from our prior financial guaranty segment to the Mortgage Insurance segment and that were not reclassified to discontinued operations.

 
 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 2 of 3)

 
    Mortgage Insurance
Year Ended
December 31,

(In thousands)

2015     2014
Net premiums written - insurance $ 968,505 $ 925,181
Increase in unearned premiums   (52,597 )   (80,653

)

Net premiums earned - insurance 915,908 844,528
Net investment income (1) 81,537 65,655
Other income (1)   6,300     5,321  
Total   1,003,745     915,504  
 
Provision for losses 198,433 246,865
Change in expected economic loss or recovery for consolidated VIEs 113
Policy acquisition costs 22,424 24,446
Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   149,941         170,390  
Total   370,798         441,814  
Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations 632,947 473,690
Allocation of corporate operating expenses (1) 46,418 55,154
Allocation of interest expense (1)   73,402     81,600  
Adjusted pretax operating income $ 513,127   $ 336,936  
 
 
Services
Year Ended
December 31,

(In thousands)

2015

2014(2)

Services revenue $ 157,416 $ 76,709
Other income       1,265  
Total   157,416     77,974  
 
Direct cost of services 93,504 43,605
Other operating expenses before corporate allocations   43,622         18,915  
Total   137,126         62,520  

Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations

20,290 15,454
Allocation of corporate operating expenses 4,823 1,144
Allocation of interest expense   17,700     8,864  

Adjusted pretax operating (loss) income

$ (2,233 ) $ 5,446  
 

(1)

 

For periods prior to the quarter ended June 30, 2015, includes certain corporate income and expenses that have been reallocated from our prior financial guaranty segment to the Mortgage Insurance segment and that were not reclassified to discontinued operations.

(2)

Primarily represents the activity of Clayton; Clayton was acquired on June 30, 2014.

 
 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 3 of 3)

 

Inter-segment information:

 
    2015     2014
Qtr 4     Qtr 3     Qtr 2     Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Inter-segment expense included in Mortgage Insurance segment $ 682 $ 925 $ 1,092 $ 902 $ 782
Inter-segment revenue included in Services segment 682 925 1,092 902 782
 

Supplemental information for Services EBITDA (see definition in Exhibit F):

 
2015 2014
Qtr 4     Qtr 3 Qtr 2 Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Adjusted pretax operating income before corporate allocations $ 3,585 $ 5,711 $ 7,572 $ 3,422 $ 7,288
Depreciation and amortization   612   555   482   449   442
Services EBITDA $ 4,197 $ 6,266 $ 8,054 $ 3,871 $ 7,730
 
           

Selected balance sheet information for our segments as of the periods indicated, is a follows:

 
At December 31, 2015

(In thousands)

Mortgage

Insurance

Services Total
Total assets $ 5,291,284 $ 360,504 $ 5,651,788
 
At December 31, 2014

(In thousands)

Mortgage

Insurance

Services Total
Assets held for sale (1) $ $ $ 1,736,444
Total assets 4,769,014 336,878 6,842,336
 

(1) Assets held for sale are not part of the Mortgage Insurance or Services segments.

 
 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure

Exhibit F (page 1 of 2)

 

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measure

 

In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, “adjusted pretax operating income (loss)” and “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share,” among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the Company’s business performance is evaluated by both management and the board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our core operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis “adjusted pretax operating income (loss)” and “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” are non-GAAP financial measures, we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations. Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (the Company’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of the Company’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations excluding the effects of net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment, acquisition-related expenses, amortization and impairment of intangible assets and net impairment losses recognized in earnings. Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing (i) adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common shareholders, net of taxes computed using the company’s statutory tax rate, by (ii) the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. Interest expense on convertible debt, share dilution from convertible debt and the impact of stock-based compensation arrangements have been reflected in the per share calculations consistent with the accounting standard regarding earnings per share, whenever the impact is dilutive.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (1) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss) from continuing operations. These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described below.

 
(1)

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles. Unrealized investment gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in economic gains or losses.

 
Trends in the profitability of our fundamental operating activities can be more clearly identified without the fluctuations of these realized and unrealized gains or losses. We do not view them to be indicative of our fundamental operating activities. Therefore, these items are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss). However, we include the change in expected economic loss or recovery associated with our consolidated VIEs, if any, in the calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).
 
(2)

Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment. Gains or losses on early extinguishment of debt or losses incurred to induce conversion of convertible debt prior to maturity are discretionary activities that are undertaken in order to take advantage of market opportunities to strengthen our financial position; therefore, these activities are not viewed as part of our operating performance. Such transactions do not reflect expected future operations and do not provide meaningful insight regarding our current or past operating trends. Therefore, these items are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

 
(3)

Acquisition-related expenses. Acquisition-related expenses represent the costs incurred to effect an acquisition of a business (i.e., a business combination). Because we pursue acquisitions on a strategic and selective basis and not in the ordinary course of our business, we do not view acquisition-related expenses as a consequence of a primary business activity. Therefore, we do not consider these expenses to be part of our operating performance and they are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

 
(4)

Amortization and impairment of intangible assets. Amortization of intangible assets represents the periodic expense required to amortize the cost of intangible assets over their estimated useful lives. Intangible assets with an indefinite useful life are also periodically reviewed for potential impairment, and impairment adjustments are made whenever appropriate. These charges are not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities and therefore are excluded from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure

Exhibit F (page 2 of 2)

 
(5)

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings. The recognition of net impairment losses on investments can vary significantly in both size and timing, depending on market credit cycles. We do not view these impairment losses to be indicative of our fundamental operating activities. Therefore, whenever these losses occur, we exclude them from our calculation of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

 

In addition to the above non-GAAP measures for the consolidated company, we also have presented as supplemental information a non-GAAP measure for our Services segment, representing earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”). We calculate Services EBITDA by using adjusted pretax operating income as described above, further adjusted to remove the impact of depreciation and corporate allocations for interest and operating expenses. We have presented Services EBITDA to facilitate comparisons with other services companies, since it is a widely accepted measure of performance in the services industry.

See Exhibit G for the reconciliation of our non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, adjusted pretax operating income and adjusted diluted net operating income per share, to the most comparable GAAP measures, pretax income from continuing operations and net income per share from continuing operations, respectively. Exhibit G also contains the reconciliation of Services EBITDA to the most comparable GAAP measure, pretax income from continuing operations.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and Services EBITDA are not measures of total profitability, and therefore should not be viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations or net income (loss) per share from continuing operations. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share or EBITDA may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies.

   
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit G (page 1 of 3)
 
Reconciliation of Adjusted Pretax Operating Income (Loss) to Consolidated Pretax Income

from Continuing Operations

 
2015 2014

(In thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss):
Mortgage Insurance (1) $ 125,904 $ 115,905 $ 145,426 $ 125,892 $ 56,336
Services (2) (1,797 ) (279 ) 1,834   (1,991 ) 2,108  
Total adjusted pretax operating income 124,107   115,626   147,260   123,901   58,444  
 

Net (losses) gains on investments and other financial instruments (3)

(13,402 ) 3,868 28,448 16,779 17,967
Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (2,320 ) (11 ) (91,876 )
Acquisition-related expenses (4) (266 ) (525 ) (567 ) (207 ) (380 )
Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (4) (3,409 ) (3,273 ) (3,281 ) (3,023 ) (5,354 )
Consolidated pretax income from continuing operations $ 104,710   $ 115,685   $ 79,984   $ 137,450   $ 70,677  
 

(1)

 

For periods prior to the quarter ended June 30, 2015, includes certain corporate income and expenses that have been reallocated from our prior financial guaranty segment to the Mortgage Insurance segment and that were not reclassified to discontinued operations.

(2)

Effective with the fourth quarter of 2014, the Services segment undertook the management responsibilities of certain additional loan servicer surveillance functions previously considered part of the Mortgage Insurance segment. As a result, these activities are now reported in the Services segment for all periods presented.

(3)

This line item includes a de minimis amount of expected economic loss or recovery associated with our previously consolidated VIEs that is included in adjusted pretax operating income above.

(4)

Please see Exhibit F for the definition of this line item.

 
   

Reconciliation of Adjusted Diluted Net Operating Income Per Share (1) to Net Income Per Share

from Continuing Operations
 
2015 2014
Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share $ 0.34   $ 0.31   $ 0.40   $ 0.35   $ 0.17  
 
After tax per share impact:
 
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (0.03 ) 0.01 0.07 0.04 0.05
Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (0.01 ) (0.28 )
Acquisition-related expenses
Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (0.01 ) (0.01 ) (0.01 ) (0.01 ) (0.01 )
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate 0.03 (0.02 ) 0.02 0.01 3.42 (2)
         
Net income per share from continuing operations $ 0.32   $ 0.29   $ 0.20   $ 0.39   $ 3.63  
 

(1)

 

Calculated using the company’s statutory tax rate.

(2)

Includes the tax benefit of $3.36 per share realized relating to the reversal of our valuation allowance in the 4th quarter of 2014.

 
 
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit G (page 2 of 3)
 
Reconciliation of Adjusted Pretax Operating Income (Loss) to Consolidated Pretax Income

from Continuing Operations

 
Year Ended
December 31,

(In thousands)

2015   2014
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss):
Mortgage Insurance (1) $ 513,127 $ 336,936
Services (2) (2,233 ) 5,446  
Total adjusted pretax operating income 510,894   342,382  
 
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (3) 35,693 80,102
Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (94,207 )
Acquisition-related expenses (4) (1,565 ) (6,680 )
Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (4) (12,986 ) (8,648 )
Consolidated pretax income from continuing operations $ 437,829   $ 407,156  
 

(1)

 

For periods prior to the quarter ended June 30, 2015, includes certain corporate income and expenses that have been reallocated from our prior financial guaranty segment to the Mortgage Insurance segment and that were not reclassified to discontinued operations.

(2)

Effective with the fourth quarter of 2014, the Services segment undertook the management responsibilities of certain additional loan servicer surveillance functions previously considered part of the Mortgage Insurance segment. As a result, these activities are now reported in the Services segment for all periods presented.

(3)

This line item includes a de minimis amount of expected economic loss or recovery associated with our previously consolidated VIEs that is included in adjusted pretax operating income above.

(4)

Please see Exhibit F for the definition of this line item.

 
 

Reconciliation of Adjusted Diluted Net Operating Income Per Share (1) to Net Income Per Share

from Continuing Operations

 
Year Ended
December 31,
2015   2014
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share $ 1.40   $ 1.01  
 
After tax per share impact:
 
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments 0.09 0.22
Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (0.29 )
Acquisition-related expenses (0.02 )
Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (0.04 ) (0.02 )
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate 0.04 4.25 (2)
   
Net income per share from continuing operations $ 1.20   $ 5.44  
 

(1)

 

Calculated using the company’s statutory tax rate.

(2)

Includes the tax benefit of $4.25 per share realized relating to the reversal of our valuation allowance in 2014.

 
   
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit G (page 3 of 3)
 
 
Reconciliation of Services Segment EBITDA to Consolidated Pretax Income
from Continuing Operations
 
2015 2014

(In thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4
 
Services EBITDA $ 4,197 $ 6,266 $ 8,054 $ 3,871 $ 7,730
Allocation of corporate operating expenses to Services (968 ) (1,567 ) (1,307 ) (981 ) (740 )
Allocation of corporate interest expenses to Services (4,414 ) (4,423 ) (4,431 ) (4,432 ) (4,440 )
Services depreciation and amortization (612 ) (555 ) (482 ) (449 ) (442 )
Services adjusted pretax operating (loss) income (1,797 ) (279 ) 1,834 (1,991 ) 2,108
Mortgage Insurance adjusted pretax operating income 125,904   115,905   145,426   125,892   56,336  
Total adjusted pretax operating income 124,107 115,626 147,260 123,901 58,444
 

Net (losses) gains on investments and other financial instruments

(13,402 ) 3,868 28,448 16,779 17,967
Loss on induced conversion and debt extinguishment (2,320 ) (11 ) (91,876 )
Acquisition-related expenses (266 ) (525 ) (567 ) (207 ) (380 )
Amortization and impairment of intangible assets (3,409 ) (3,273 ) (3,281 ) (3,023 ) (5,354 )
Consolidated pretax income from continuing operations $ 104,710   $ 115,685   $ 79,984   $ 137,450   $ 70,677  
 

On a consolidated basis, “adjusted pretax operating income” and “adjusted diluted net operating income per share” are measures not determined in accordance with GAAP. These measures are not representative of total profitability, and therefore should not be viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income from continuing operations or net income per share from continuing operations. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income and adjusted diluted net operating income per share may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies. See Exhibit F for additional information on our consolidated non-GAAP financial measures.

   
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - New Insurance Written
Exhibit H
 
2015 2014

($ in millions)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4
 
Total primary new insurance written $ 9,099   $ 11,176   $ 11,751   $ 9,385   $ 10,009  
 

Percentage of primary new insurance written by FICO score

>=740

60.3 % 61.0 % 63.0 % 63.6 % 60.2 %

680-739

32.2 31.9 30.8 30.3 32.6

620-679

7.5   7.1   6.2   6.1   7.2  
Total Primary 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
 

Percentage of primary new insurance written

Monthly and other premiums 71 % 73 % 68 % 63 % 69 %
Single premiums 29 % 27 % 32 % 37 % 31 %
 
Refinances 17 % 13 % 23 % 33 % 22 %
LTV
95.01% and above 3.6 % 3.5 % 3.2 % 1.8 % 0.5 %
90.01% to 95.00% 49.5 % 51.5 % 49.4 % 48.4 % 51.7 %
85.01% to 90.00% 34.4 % 34.1 % 34.0 % 33.3 % 33.2 %
85.00% and below 12.5 % 10.9 % 13.4 % 16.5 % 14.6 %
 
 
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force by Product, Statutory Capital Ratios
Exhibit I
 
  December 31, September 30,   June 30,   March 31,   December 31,

($ in millions)

2015 2015 2015 2015 2014

Primary insurance in force (1)

Flow $ 167,469 $ 166,527 $ 164,137 $ 162,832 $ 162,302
Structured 8,115   8,339   8,555   9,309   9,508  
Total Primary $ 175,584   $ 174,866   $ 172,692   $ 172,141   $ 171,810  
 
Prime $ 165,291 $ 164,060 $ 161,397 $ 160,452 $ 159,647
Alt-A 6,176 6,531 6,857 7,122 7,412
A minus and below 4,117   4,275   4,438   4,567   4,751  
Total Primary $ 175,584   $ 174,866   $ 172,692   $ 172,141   $ 171,810  
 

Primary risk in force (1) (2)

Flow $ 42,771 $ 42,454 $ 41,706 $ 41,256 $ 41,071
Structured 1,856   1,910   1,957   2,133   2,168  
Total Primary $ 44,627   $ 44,364   $ 43,663   $ 43,389   $ 43,239  
 
Flow
Prime $ 41,036 $ 40,629 $ 39,781 $ 39,251 $ 38,977
Alt-A 1,061 1,124 1,191 1,243 1,295
A minus and below 674   701   734   762   799  
Total Flow $ 42,771   $ 42,454   $ 41,706   $ 41,256   $ 41,071  
 
Structured
Prime $ 1,134 $ 1,155 $ 1,182 $ 1,341 $ 1,349
Alt-A 366 386 397 410 425
A minus and below 356   369   378   382   394  
Total Structured $ 1,856   $ 1,910   $ 1,957   $ 2,133   $ 2,168  
 
Total
Prime $ 42,170 $ 41,784 $ 40,963 $ 40,592 $ 40,326
Alt-A 1,427 1,510 1,588 1,653 1,720
A minus and below 1,030   1,070   1,112   1,144   1,193  
Total Primary $ 44,627   $ 44,364   $ 43,663   $ 43,389   $ 43,239  
 

Statutory Capital Ratios

Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only

14.3

:1

(3)

16.5 :1 16.5 :1 17.1 :1 17.9 :1
Risk to capital ratio-Mortgage Insurance combined

14.6

:1

(3)

17.9 :1 18.0 :1 19.1 :1 20.3 :1
 

(1)

 

Includes amounts ceded under our reinsurance agreements, as well as amounts related to the Freddie Mac Agreement.

(2)

Does not include pool risk in force or other risk in force, which combined represent less than 3.0% of our total risk in force for all periods presented.

(3)

Preliminary.

 
 
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Percentage of Primary Risk in Force by FICO, LTV and Policy Year
Exhibit J
 
 

December 31,

  September 30,   June 30,   March 31,   December 31,

($ in millions)

2015 2015 2015 2015 2014

Percentage of primary risk in force by FICO score

Flow
>=740 58.3 % 58.2 % 58.1 % 58.1 % 58.1 %
680-739 30.5 30.3 30.2 30.0 29.7
620-679 10.1 10.3 10.5 10.6 10.8
<=619 1.1   1.2   1.2   1.3   1.4  
Total Flow 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
 
Structured
>=740 29.4

%

28.9

%

28.7 % 31.1 % 30.3 %
680-739 27.7 27.9 27.9 28.1 28.5
620-679 25.0 25.2 25.4 24.1 24.3
<=619 17.9   18.0   18.0   16.7   16.9  
Total Structured 100.0 % 100.0

%

100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
 
Total
>=740 57.1 % 57.0 % 56.7 % 56.8 % 56.7 %
680-739 30.3 30.2 30.1 29.8 29.6
620-679 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.3 11.6
<=619 1.8   1.9   2.0   2.1   2.1  
Total Primary 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
 

Percentage of primary risk in force by LTV

95.01% and above 7.3 % 7.4 % 7.6 % 7.9 % 8.2 %
90.01% to 95.00% 50.4 49.8 49.0 48.2 47.5
85.01% to 90.00% 34.0 34.3 34.6 35.0 35.4
85.00% and below 8.3   8.5   8.8   8.9   8.9  
Total 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
 

Percentage of primary risk in force by policy year

2005 and prior 6.3 % 6.8 % 7.3 % 7.8 % 8.2 %

2006

3.7 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.6

2007

8.7 9.1 9.6 10.2 10.6

2008

6.3 6.6 7.0 7.5 7.9

2009

1.7 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5

2010

1.4 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.1

2011

2.9 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.2

2012

11.2 12.0 13.0 14.2 15.1

2013

18.1 19.2 20.8 22.4 23.8

2014

17.1 18.0 19.0 20.0 21.0

2015

22.6   18.0   11.9   5.3    
Total 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
 
Primary risk in force on defaulted loans (1) $ 1,625 $ 1,666 $ 1,753 $ 1,883 $ 2,089
 

(1)

 

Excludes risk related to loans subject to the Freddie Mac Agreement.

 
 
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Claims and Reserves
Exhibit K
 
  2015   2014

($ in thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4
 
Net claims paid
Prime $ 56,900 $ 65,396 $ 83,489 $ 76,186 $ 74,342
Alt-A 21,343 18,966 23,260 19,999 21,909
A minus and below   11,530     14,028     14,965     15,141   12,600
Total primary claims paid 89,773 98,390 121,714 111,326 108,851
Pool 6,477 8,721 10,798 8,874 8,086
Second-lien and other   (143 )   (16 )   (53 )   (111 )   283
Subtotal 96,107 107,095 132,459 120,089 117,220
Impact of captive terminations (65 ) (12,000 )
Impact of settlements   80,426     61,994     79,557     99,006  
Total $ 176,468   $ 169,089   $ 212,016   $ 207,095 $ 117,220
 
Average claim paid (1)
Prime $ 46.9 $ 46.2 $ 48.1 $ 44.0 $ 48.7
Alt-A 61.7 60.2 59.5 54.6 58.7
A minus and below 40.6 42.5 40.1 35.9 39.3
Total primary average claims paid 48.7 47.8 48.7 44.2 49.0
Pool 56.3 51.3 69.7 51.5 46.5
Total $ 48.9 $ 47.8 $ 49.6 $ 44.5 $ 48.2
 
Average primary claim paid (2) $ 50.5 $ 48.5 $ 49.6 $ 45.3 $ 50.4
Average total claim paid (2) $ 50.6 $ 48.5 $ 50.4 $ 45.5 $ 49.4
 

($ in thousands, except primary reserve per

December 31,

September 30,

June 30,

March 31, December 31,

primary default amounts)

2015

2015

2015

2015   2014
 
Reserve for losses by category
Prime $ 480,481 $ 519,572 $ 562,918 $ 640,919 $ 700,174
Alt-A 203,706

234,772

256,854 278,350 292,293
A minus and below 129,352 137,441 148,043 163,390 179,103
IBNR and other 83,066 107,179 125,038 167,204 223,114
LAE 26,108 41,464 48,141 53,210 56,164
Reinsurance recoverable (3)   8,286     11,071     11,677     13,365     26,665
Total primary reserves   930,999     1,051,499     1,152,671     1,316,438     1,477,513
Pool insurance 42,084 43,234 47,902 62,943 75,785
IBNR and other 1,118 949 891 1,227 1,775
LAE   1,335     1,983     2,353     3,051     3,542
Total pool reserves   44,537     46,166     51,146     67,221     81,102
Total 1st lien reserves 975,536 1,097,665 1,203,817 1,383,659 1,558,615
Second-lien and other   863     905     975     1,055     1,417
Total reserves $ 976,399   $ 1,098,570   $ 1,204,792   $ 1,384,714   $ 1,560,032
 
1st lien reserve per default
Primary reserve per primary default excluding IBNR and other $ 24,019 $ 26,237 $ 27,279 $ 28,423 $ 27,683

(1)

 

Net of reinsurance recoveries and without giving effect to the impact of captive terminations and settlements.

(2)

Before reinsurance recoveries and without giving effect to the impact of captive terminations and settlements.

(3)

Primarily represents ceded losses on captive transactions and quota share reinsurance transactions.

 
         
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Default Statistics
Exhibit L
 
December 31, September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31,
2015 2015 2015 2015 2014

Default Statistics

Primary Insurance:

Prime

Number of insured loans 816,797 812,657 802,719 801,332 797,436
Number of loans in default 22,223 22,328 23,237 25,114 28,246
Percentage of loans in default 2.72 % 2.75 % 2.89 % 3.13 % 3.54 %
 

Alt-A

Number of insured loans 32,411 34,166 35,927 37,468 38,953
Number of loans in default 5,813 6,318 6,949 7,480 8,136
Percentage of loans in default 17.94 % 18.49 % 19.34 % 19.96 % 20.89 %
 

A minus and below

Number of insured loans 31,902 33,018 34,224 35,425 36,688
Number of loans in default 7,267 7,229 7,490 7,846 8,937
Percentage of loans in default 22.78 % 21.89 % 21.89 % 22.15 % 24.36 %
 
Total Primary
Number of insured loans 881,110 879,841 872,870 874,225 873,077
Number of loans in default (1) 35,303 35,875 37,676 40,440 45,319
Percentage of loans in default 4.01 % 4.08 % 4.32 % 4.63 % 5.19 %
 

(1)

 

Excludes the following number of loans subject to the Freddie Mac Agreement that are in default as we no longer have claims exposure on these loans:

         
December 31, September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31,
2015 2015 2015 2015 2014
Number of loans in default 2,821 2,993 3,246 3,715 4,467
 
   
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Captives, QSR and Persistency
Exhibit M
 
2015 2014

($ in thousands)

Qtr 4   Qtr 3   Qtr 2   Qtr 1 Qtr 4

1st Lien Captives

Premiums ceded to captives $ 2,268 $ 2,434 $ 2,700 $ 2,585 $ 3,078
% of total premiums 1.0 % 1.0 % 1.1 % 1.1 % 1.3 %
Insurance in force included in captives (1) 2.1 % 2.2 % 2.4 % 2.5 % 2.8 %
Risk in force included in captives (1) 1.9 % 2.1 % 2.2 % 2.4 % 2.7 %
 

Initial Quota Share Reinsurance (“QSR”) Transaction

QSR ceded premiums written $ 3,145 $ 3,437 $ 3,822 $ 4,067 $ (4,801 )
% of premiums written 1.3 % 1.4 % 1.5 % 1.6 % (1.9 )%
QSR ceded premiums earned $ 4,647 $ 5,067 $ 6,425 $ 6,018 $ (2,869 )
% of premiums earned 1.9 % 2.1 % 2.6 % 2.5 % (1.2 )%
Ceding commissions $ 681 $ 745 $ 828 $ 880 $ 1,108
Risk in force included in QSR (2) $ 836,192 $ 889,298 $ 954,673 $ 1,041,383 $ 1,105,545
 

Second QSR Transaction

QSR ceded premiums written $ 3,789 $ 5,030 $ 394 $ 6,529 $ 9,303
% of premiums written 1.6 % 2.0 % 0.2 % 2.6 % 3.7 %
QSR ceded premiums earned $ 5,876 $ 7,134 $ 3,040 $ 8,768 $ 8,339
% of premiums earned 2.5 % 3.0 % 1.2 % 3.6 % 3.6 %
Ceding commissions $ 1,872 $ 1,998 $ 2,154 $ 2,285 $ 3,256
Risk in force included in QSR (2) $ 1,294,838 $ 1,364,615 $ 1,440,312 $ 1,533,677 $ 1,615,554
 
Persistency (twelve months ended) (3) 78.8 % 79.2 % 80.1 % 82.6 % 84.2 %
Persistency (quarterly, annualized) 81.8 % 80.5 % 76.2 % 80.3 %

83.3

%
 

(1)

 

Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

(2)

Included in primary risk in force.

(3)

Effective March 31, 2015, we refined our persistency calculation to incorporate loan level detail rather than aggregated portfolio data. Prior periods have been recalculated and reflect the current calculation methodology.

 

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

All statements in this report that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Exchange Act and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In most cases, forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as "anticipate," "may," "will," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "intend," "plan," "goal," "contemplate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "project," "potential," "continue," "seek," "strategy," "future," "likely" or the negative or other variations on these words and other similar expressions. These statements, which may include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition, are made on the basis of management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statement. These statements speak only as of the date they were made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We operate in a changing environment. New risks emerge from time to time and it is not possible for us to predict all risks that may affect us. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements including:

  • changes in general economic and political conditions, including in particular but without limitation, unemployment rates and changes in housing markets and mortgage credit markets;
  • changes in the way customers, investors, regulators or legislators perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers;
  • Radian Guaranty Inc.’s ability to remain eligible under the Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (“PMIERs”) and other applicable requirements imposed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”) and by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (collectively, the “GSEs”) to insure loans purchased by the GSEs;
  • our ability to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet our short- and long-term liquidity needs and to successfully execute and implement actions and activities related to our capital plans, including our ability to enter into and receive GSE approval for a reinsurance transaction to reduce exposure to our single premium policies, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all;
  • our ability to successfully execute and implement our business plans and strategies, including in particular but without limitation, plans and strategies that require GSE approval;
  • our ability to maintain an adequate level of capital in our insurance subsidiaries to satisfy existing and future state regulatory requirements;
  • changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or regulations imposed by or applicable to the GSEs;
  • any disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies, as well as poor servicer performance;
  • a decrease in the persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies;
  • heightened competition in our mortgage insurance business, including in particular but without limitation, increased price competition;
  • changes to the current system of housing finance;
  • the effect of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act on the financial services industry in general, and on our businesses in particular;
  • the adoption of new laws and regulations, or changes in existing laws and regulations, or the way they are interpreted;
  • the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated with federal or other tax examinations, including deficiencies assessed by the Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) resulting from the examination of our 2000 through 2007 tax years, which we are currently contesting;
  • the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance business;
  • volatility in our results of operations caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities, including a significant portion of our investment portfolio;
  • changes in “GAAP” (accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S.) or “SAP” (statutory accounting practices including those required or permitted, if applicable, by the insurance departments of the respective states of domicile of our insurance subsidiaries) rules and guidance, or their interpretation;
  • legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries; and
  • the possibility that we may need to impair the estimated fair value of goodwill established in connection with our acquisition of Clayton Holdings LLC.

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of Part I of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and in our subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this press release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

Source: Radian Group Inc.

Radian Group Inc.
Emily Riley, 215-231-1035
emily.riley@radian.com